
BMW’s director of development today insisted this week’s fatal self-driving Uber crash was “inevitable”, insisting the ride-sharing company technology was never advanced enough to safely drive autonomously.
Speaking at today’s BMW Group Annual Accounts conference, Dr Klaus Fröhlich insisted Level 4 and Level 5 autonomy simply couldn’t be done safely with current technology.
“At the moment, with the quality and ability of the sensors and the computer processing speed and performance, there is no possibility to have highly autonomous cars without accidents,” he insisted.
One of Uber’s fleet of Volvo XC90 SUVs, with controlling software modified by Uber, struck a female pedestrian on a public road in Arizona on Sunday and killed her.
The company had its Californian automated vehicle license revoked midway through 2016 for repeatedly refusing to comply with its restrictions.
In a statement that looks extremely bad today, Arizona’s Republican Governor tweeted that “This is what OVER-regulation looks like!” and invited Uber to develop self-driving technology on his state’s roads.
Elaine Herzberg, 49, was struck as she attempted to cross a road whilst pushing a bicycle in Tempe, Arizona, and was hit by the car, travelling at 65km/h in a 70km/h zone, as it was operating in “autonomous mode”.
The Uber prototype neither braked nor took any avoiding action, according to Tempe police.
Uber suspended its autonomous-vehicle fleet in response to the crash and issued a statement of condolence to the family of Ms Herzberg.
Uber wasn’t just testing cars and SUVs like the XC90 in Arizona, its autonomous heavy trucks have been real-world testing with heavy cargo since late 2017. Like its cars and SUVs, the trucks all had human drivers ready to take over in an incident, but with a view to eliminating all human help on the way to full Level 5 autonomy.
BMW’s Dr Fröhlich, though, repeated the suggestion that the Volvo wasn’t fitted with either the sensor or processing technology to deliver safe autonomy, particularly lacking a thermal-imaging camera.
Describing the crash as “very regrettable”, BMW’s most senior engineer insisted the less frantic pace of autonomous development in Europe was safer for everybody concerned than some of the less-regulated states of the US.
“The path towards autonomous driving is a very long path. I always talked about the miles mixture [of autonomous and ‘manual’ driving] and I’m going to stick with that.”
BMW itself is embarking on Level 5 (full autonomous) tests with its major fleet customers in Hamburg soon but “only if and where we know we are very secure”.
“We have covered 250 million kilometres in validation before we start on the road [to Level 5], so this accident doesn’t mean a lot for us in technical development,” Dr Fröhlich insisted.
It will break that down to 20 million real-world kilometres with the extra 230 million kilometres run on a virtual test program in a supercomputer.
"In a dedicated space for only autonomous vehicles, it is easier to anticipate what other vehicles and traffic will do," Dr Fröhlich said.
"This makes it easier to program vehicle reflexes and may even allow a car to have fewer sensors and less processing power than a vehicle which needs to navigate normal traffic with things like bicycle couriers."
BMW has a collaboration with key self-driving technology suppliers Intel and MobilEye, which FCA joined late last year, and was a founder partner (with Audi and Mercedes-Benz’ parent Daimler) of the buyout of Nokia’s HERE digital-mapping service.
While Audi insists its new A6, A7 and A8 models are all capable of Level 3 self-driving (where the driver is always considered to be in control, though the car can do the driving outside heavily built-up areas) and Mercedes-Benz’s E-Class, CLS and S-Class claim borderline Level 2/Level 3, BMW does not.
Its first Level 3-capable car will be its iNext electric car in 2020, although (like Audi and Mercedes-Benz) Dr Fröhlich insists the self-driving technology actually switched on in the production car would depend on each region’s legislation.
BMW already has more than 50 LiDar-equipped Level 4 and Level 5 test cars running daily in Germany, California and Israel, collating 40 terabytes of data every day.
The Arizona incident is likely to lead to a lengthy and extremely significant legal debate in both the criminal and civil courts, made even more complicated by Uber’s erratic relationship with corporate ethics.
In October, 2016, it paid hackers US$100,000 to cover up the cyberattack that compromised the personal and credit data of 57 million customers, but it wasn’t the first time scandal visited the company: